Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.004731 0.005212 0.005730 0.006333 0.007016 0.007771 0.008669
2025-08-10 0.003903 0.004556 0.005313 0.006265 0.007439 0.008853 0.010705
2025-08-17 0.003479 0.004218 0.005117 0.006308 0.007866 0.009864 0.012673
2025-08-24 0.003130 0.003906 0.004887 0.006241 0.008097 0.010604 0.014344
2025-08-31 0.002813 0.003592 0.004607 0.006056 0.008119 0.011032 0.015604
2025-09-07 0.002612 0.003407 0.004472 0.006039 0.008354 0.011762 0.017386
2025-09-14 0.002509 0.003341 0.004485 0.006224 0.008888 0.012981 0.020099
2025-09-21 0.002331 0.003154 0.004310 0.006110 0.008951 0.013469 0.021673
2025-09-28 0.002174 0.002984 0.004144 0.005991 0.008986 0.013907 0.023210
2025-10-05 0.002065 0.002875 0.004057 0.005982 0.009191 0.014639 0.025390
2025-10-12 0.001998 0.002822 0.004048 0.006093 0.009601 0.015772 0.028517
2025-10-19 0.001894 0.002707 0.003936 0.006024 0.009692 0.016336 0.030601
2025-10-26 0.001807 0.002616 0.003860 0.006019 0.009912 0.017201 0.033563
2025-11-02 0.001713 0.002509 0.003754 0.005954 0.010021 0.017874 0.036266
2025-11-09 0.001650 0.002446 0.003711 0.005995 0.010327 0.018979 0.040207
2025-11-16 0.001572 0.002355 0.003616 0.005932 0.010426 0.019667 0.043291
2025-11-23 0.001480 0.002235 0.003466 0.005758 0.010287 0.019824 0.045054
2025-11-30 0.001423 0.002171 0.003405 0.005742 0.010463 0.020698 0.048943
2025-12-07 0.001402 0.002164 0.003443 0.005915 0.011048 0.022587 0.056199
2025-12-14 0.001338 0.002080 0.003340 0.005808 0.011025 0.023044 0.059352
2025-12-21 0.001277 0.002000 0.003239 0.005697 0.010982 0.023444 0.062446
2025-12-28 0.001235 0.001951 0.003191 0.005688 0.011165 0.024436 0.067769
2026-01-04 0.001213 0.001934 0.003199 0.005793 0.011615 0.026193 0.076299